Arbeitspapier

Government debt, inflation dynamics and the transmission of fiscal policy shocks

We analyze the influence of the fiscal position on the transmission of government spending shocks in a New Keynesian model. We find that once we allow for positive levels of government debt in the steady state, the sign and the size of the fiscal multiplier depend strongly on the horizon at which the multiplier is evaluated. While the long-run effect of a fiscal policy innovation is typically of a similar order of magnitude as in Gali et al. (2007), short-run multipliers differ substantially. The reason for this non-monotonic behavior is the interaction between the dynamics of the inflation rate and the debt level in real terms, which is absent in standard models in which government debt is restricted to be equal to zero in the steady state.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Papers in Economics and Statistics ; No. 2012-05

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Fiscal Policy
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
Fiscal Multiplier
New Keynesian Model
Government Debt
In flation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mayer, Eric
Rueth, Sebastian
Scharler, Johann
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)
(where)
Innsbruck
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mayer, Eric
  • Rueth, Sebastian
  • Scharler, Johann
  • University of Innsbruck, Research Platform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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