Arbeitspapier

Effects of the People's Republic of China's structural change on the exports of East and Southeast Asian economies

The Chinese economy is slowing down and, at the same time, it is in the midst of a structural transformation from an export- and investment-led economy to a domestic demand- and consumption-led growth paradigm. While there are widespread concerns in the People's Republic of China's (PRC) trading partners about the effect of the PRC's growth slowdown on their exports, the PRC's structural change is also likely to have a significant impact - e.g. the PRC will import fewer machines and more cosmetics. The central objective of our paper is to empirically examine the effect of the PRC's structural transformation on the exports of East and Southeast Asian economies, which have close trade linkages with the PRC. We find that economies which failed to increase the share of consumption goods in their exports to the PRC suffered larger declines in their exports to the PRC. In addition, economies that suffered losses in their shares of the PRC's parts and components imports suffered losses in their shares of the PRC's total imports.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 492

Classification
Wirtschaft
Empirical Studies of Trade
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
People's Republic of China
East Asia
export
global value chain
structural change

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lee, Hyun-hoon
Park, Donghyun
Shin, Kwanho
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
(where)
Manila
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lee, Hyun-hoon
  • Park, Donghyun
  • Shin, Kwanho
  • Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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