Arbeitspapier

Efectos de choques no anticipados en el ingreso sobre el consumo en México, 2000-2016

Changes on consumption of Mexican households generated by unexpected shocks in income, both permanent and transitory, are analyzed during the period 2000-2016 following the methodology developed by Blundell et al. (2008), which allows to evaluate which hypothesis on the response of consumption is more in line with the empirical evidence in Mexico: permanent income, complete markets, or partial insurance. The results suggest the presence of partial insurance on consumption in the face of permanent income shocks at the national level, although results are also consistent with the permanent income hypothesis. However, differences are found between regions when replicating the same analysis. Regarding temporary shocks, the coefficient of the effect of income shocks on consumption is not statistically significant at the national or regional level, which suggests a consumption smoothing by households in the face of temporary changes in their income.

Language
Spanisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2021-09

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Subject
Consumption shocks
income
syntethic panel

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Llamosas-Rosas, Irving
Rangel González, Erick
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Banco de México
(where)
Ciudad de México
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Llamosas-Rosas, Irving
  • Rangel González, Erick
  • Banco de México

Time of origin

  • 2021

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