Arbeitspapier
Low-frequency determinants of inflation in the euro area
We use frequency-wise Granger-causality tests and error-correction models to investigate the driving forces behind longer-run inflation developments in the euro area. Employing an eclectic approach we consider various relevant theories. With a general-to-specific testing strategy we distill the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates as causal for low-frequency variations of inflation. Money growth is found to be causal for inflation only if other variables are omitted, which we therefore interpret as a spurious result.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 6/2009
- Classification
-
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money and Interest Rates: General
- Subject
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money growth
Granger causality
quantity theory
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Schreiber, Sven
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
- (where)
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Düsseldorf
- (when)
-
2009
- Handle
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:101:1-20091104823
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET
Data provider
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Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Schreiber, Sven
- Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
Time of origin
- 2009