Arbeitspapier

Low-frequency determinants of inflation in the euro area

We use frequency-wise Granger-causality tests and error-correction models to investigate the driving forces behind longer-run inflation developments in the euro area. Employing an eclectic approach we consider various relevant theories. With a general-to-specific testing strategy we distill the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates as causal for low-frequency variations of inflation. Money growth is found to be causal for inflation only if other variables are omitted, which we therefore interpret as a spurious result.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 6/2009

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money and Interest Rates: General
Subject
money growth
Granger causality
quantity theory

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Schreiber, Sven
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2009

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-20091104823
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Schreiber, Sven
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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