Arbeitspapier

Labour market skills, endogenous productivity and business cycles

This paper analyses how labour market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics that are relevant for monetary policy. The model matches remarkably well the short and long run dynamics of skilled and unskilled workers. Skill mismatch and skill-specific labour market institutions have three main effects on business cycles and growth dynamics. First, as the composition of labour market skills leads to supply segmentation, the relative scarcity of skilled workers increases the natural rate of unemployment and reduces total factor productivity with long- run effects on the growth rate of output. Second, skill heterogeneity in the labour market generates asymmetric outcomes and amplifies measures of employment, wages and consumption inequality. Finally, the model provides important insights for the Phillips and Beveridge curves. Skill-specific labour market heterogeneity leads to a flattening of the Phillips curve as wages and unemployment are affected differently across skill types. Also, the model generates sideward shifts of the Beveridge curve following business cycle shocks that are related to the degree of skill heterogeneity.

ISBN
978-92-899-4984-2
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2651

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Monetary policy
labour market
skill heterogeneity
endogenous growth
unemployment fluctuations
Phillips curve
Beveridge curve
consumption inequality

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Abbritti, Mirko
Consolo, Agostino
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2022

DOI
doi:10.2866/388837
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Abbritti, Mirko
  • Consolo, Agostino
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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