Arbeitspapier

Education choices in Mexico: Using a structural model and a randomized experiment to evaluate Progresa

In this paper we use an economic model to analyse data from a major social experiment, namely PROGRESA in Mexico, and to evaluate its impact on school participation. In the process we also show the usefulness of using experimental data to estimate a structural economic model. The evaluation sample includes data from villages where the program was implemented and where it was not. The allocation was randomised for evaluation purposes. We estimate a structural model of education choices and argue that without such a framework it is impossible to evaluate the effect of the program and, especially, possible changes to its structure. We also argue that the randomized component of the data allows us to identify a more flexible model that is better suited to evaluate the program. We find that the program has a positive effect on the enrollment of children, especially after primary school; this result is well replicated by the parsimonious structural model. We also find that a revenue neutral change in the program that would increase the grant for secondary school children while eliminating for the primary school children would have a substantially larger effect on enrollment of the latter, while having minor effects on the former.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IFS Working Papers ; No. 10,14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Bildungswesen
Bildungsinvestition
Bildungsertrag
Test
Mexiko

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Attanasio, Orazio
Meghir, Costas
Santiago, Ana
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
(where)
London
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Attanasio, Orazio
  • Meghir, Costas
  • Santiago, Ana
  • Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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