Arbeitspapier

Global political ties and the global financial cycle

We study the implications of forging stronger political ties with the US on the sensitivities of stock returns around the world to a global common factor - the global financial cycle. Using voting patterns at the United Nations as a measure of political ties with the US along with various measures of the global financial cycle, we document evidence indicating that stronger political ties with the US amplify the sensitivities of stock returns in developing countries to the global financial cycle. We explore several channels and find that a deepening of financial linkages along with a reduction in information asymmetries and an amplification of sentiment are potentially important factors behind this result.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IWH Discussion Papers ; No. 23/2023

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
International Finance: General
International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy: General
International Financial Markets
Subject
global financial cycle
international spillovers
political ties
stock returns

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ambrocio, Gene
Hasan, Iftekhar
Li, Xiang
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)
(where)
Halle (Saale)
(when)
2023

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-1029741
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ambrocio, Gene
  • Hasan, Iftekhar
  • Li, Xiang
  • Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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