Arbeitspapier

Robust monetary policy in the New-Keynesian framework

We study the effects of model uncertainty in a simple New-Keynesian model using robust control techniques.Due to the simple model structure, we are able to find closed-form solutions for the robust control problem, analysing both instrument rules and targeting rules under different timing assumptions.In all cases but one, an increased preference for robustness makes monetary policy respond more aggressively to cost shocks but leaves the response to demand shocks unchanged.As a consequence, inflation is less volatile and output is more volatile than under a non-robust policy.Under one particular timing assumption, however, increasing the preference for robustness has no effect on the optimal targeting rule (nor on the economy).

ISBN
952-462-186-X
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 31/2004

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
Knightian uncertainty
model uncertainty
robust control
min-max policies

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Leitemo, Kai
Söderström, Ulf
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Leitemo, Kai
  • Söderström, Ulf
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2004

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