Bericht

Assessing the mid-term growth outlook for the Indian economy

Since embarking on economic reform in 1991, India has experienced three decades of rapid economic development. Recently, however, there has been significant uncertainty about the growth outlook of the Indian economy in the mid-term perspective. In this paper we use standard regression techniques to project the path of the Indian economy over the next 4 years. The analysis, which abstracts from the pandemic period, mainly serves as support to forecasting the global economy. After the pandemic, GDP growth is projected to rebound this year and then slide to-wards 6 ‒ 7% in the medium term. The analysis broadly agrees with the recent projections of India's mid-term growth rate by other institutions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BOFIT Policy Brief ; No. 8/2021

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Indian economy
forecasting
GDP growth

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Barker, Jamie
Herrala, Risto
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2021

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:fi:bof-202106141292
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Bericht

Associated

  • Barker, Jamie
  • Herrala, Risto
  • Bank of Finland, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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