Arbeitspapier

Euro area banks' interest rate risk exposure to level, slope and curvature swings in the yield curve

This paper investigates interest rate risk exposures of listed euro area banks which fall under the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM). We analyze the period 2005 to 2014, as it includes times of very low interest rates in which banks may have pursued a more risky maturity transformation strategy. First, we use the Bayesian DCC M-GARCH model to assess banks' stock price sensitivities to principal components of changes in the yield curve describing shifts in its level, slope and curvature. Second, we investigate how these sensitivities vary depending on bank-level characteristics (e.g., balance sheet composition, reliance on interest income). Our findings reveal that, on average, banks benefit from positive level shifts and steepening yield curves. Curvature changes affect banks' share prices as well, particularly in times of crises. Further, these sensitivities change in time and depend heavily on the bank's business model and balance sheet composition. Our analysis reveals that banks with larger balance sheets, higher capital ratios, higher parts of customer loans and lower parts of deposits are particularly sensitive to interest rate movements.

ISBN
978-3-95729-387-9
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 24/2017

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Model Construction and Estimation
Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
Thema
Bayesian DCC M-GARCH model
interest rate risk
maturity transformation
swings in the yield curve

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Foos, Daniel
Lütkebohmert, Eva
Markovych, Mariia
Pliszka, Kamil
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Foos, Daniel
  • Lütkebohmert, Eva
  • Markovych, Mariia
  • Pliszka, Kamil
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Entstanden

  • 2017

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