Artikel

The Link of the Monetary Indicator to Future Inflation in the Euro-Area: A Simulation Experiment

We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson (2000) shows theoretically that the relationship between these two variables is rather tenuous. The present study employs empirical evidence on the relations in his model to quantify its dynamics for the Euro-area. Moreover, we extend Svensson's analysis by considering different shocks and monetary regimes. It becomes apparent that the system exhibits complicated dynamics and that for most shocks and policy regimes the monetary indicator is not a leading indicator of dangers to price stability at the medium-term.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung ; ISSN: 1861-1559 ; Volume: 70 ; Year: 2001 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 416-433 ; Berlin: Duncker & Humblot

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Monetärer Indikator
Inflation
Prognoseverfahren
Preisniveau
P-Star
Eurozone
Simulation
Theorie
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gottschalk, Jan
Stolz, Stéphanie
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Duncker & Humblot
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2001

DOI
doi:10.3790/vjh.70.3.416
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Gottschalk, Jan
  • Stolz, Stéphanie
  • Duncker & Humblot

Time of origin

  • 2001

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