Arbeitspapier

Monetary policy rules under bounded rationality

We study the welfare performance of various simple monetary policy rules under bounded rationality (BR) along the lines of Gabaix (2020) in a New Keynesian model with sticky wages and an effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates. Policy strategies with a strong history dependence lose their advantage over inflation targeting in mitigating a demand-driven recessions when interest rates are constrained by the ELB. For supply shocks, inflation t argeting o utperforms h istory-dependent r ules f or a s ufficiently high degree of BR. An exponential average inflation targeting rule, which features a variable degree of history dependence, performs remarkably well, independent of the degree of BR.

ISBN
978-3-95729-949-9
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 18/2023

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Subject
Bounded Rationality
Sticky Wages
Monetary Policy Strategies
Zero LowerBound

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dobrew, Michael
Gerke, Rafael
Kienzler, Daniel
Schwemmer, Alexander
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Dobrew, Michael
  • Gerke, Rafael
  • Kienzler, Daniel
  • Schwemmer, Alexander
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2023

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