Konferenzbeitrag

The long-lasting effect of technological change on the careers of young workers: Evidence from changes of mandatory training regulations

This paper investigates how the increasing labor supply of fresh graduates with modern IT (information technology) skills impacts the careers of incumbent workers during periods of fundamental technological change. To identify the causal effect within a difference-in-difference framework, we exploit a regulatory change in a mandatory German apprenticeship training regulation that obligated fresh graduates of a large manufacturing occupation to acquire modern IT skills. The paper shows that fresh graduates with modern IT skills crowd incumbent workers out of their jobs and occupations. As a result, even young incumbent workers, who lack modern IT skills, experience long-lasting earnings reductions. The earnings effects prevail for more than 20 years and incumbent workers are more likely to leave their occupation or to become unemployed.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2015: Ökonomische Entwicklung - Theorie und Politik - Session: Labor - Empirical Studies 4 ; No. D16-V1

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights: General

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Janssen, Simon
Mohrenweiser, Jens
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Beteiligte

  • Janssen, Simon
  • Mohrenweiser, Jens

Entstanden

  • 2015

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