Arbeitspapier

Effects of the minimum wage on employment dynamics

The voluminous literature on minimum wages offers little consensus on the extent to which a wage floor impacts employment. We argue that the minimum wage will impact employment over time, through changes in growth rather than an immediate drop in relative employment levels. We conduct simulations showing that commonly-used specifications in this literature, especially those that include state-specific time trends, will not accurately capture these effects. Using three separate state panels of administrative employment data, we find that the minimum wage reduces job growth over a period of several years. These effects are most pronounced for younger workers and in industries with a higher proportion of low-wage workers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Upjohn Institute Working Paper ; No. 15-233

Classification
Wirtschaft
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Subject
minimum wage
employment growth
administrative data
low-wage workers

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Meer, Jonathan
West, Jeremy
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
(where)
Kalamazoo, MI
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.17848/wp15-233
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Meer, Jonathan
  • West, Jeremy
  • W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research

Time of origin

  • 2015

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