Artikel
Stochastic modelling for financial bubbles and policy
In this paper, we draw upon the close relationship between statistical physics and mathematical finance to develop a suite of models for financial bubbles and crashes. By modifying previous approaches, we are able to derive novel analytical formulae for evaluation problems and for the expected timing of future change points. In particular, we help to explain why previous approaches have systematically overstated the timing of changes in market regime. The list of potential empirical applications is deep and wide ranging, and includes contemporary housing bubbles, the Eurozone crisis and the Crash of 2008.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Journal: Cogent Economics & Finance ; ISSN: 2332-2039 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-14 ; Abingdon: Taylor & Francis
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
- Thema
-
econophysics
bubbles
crashes
expected crash-time
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Fry, John
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Taylor & Francis
- (wo)
-
Abingdon
- (wann)
-
2015
- DOI
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doi:10.1080/23322039.2014.1002152
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Artikel
Beteiligte
- Fry, John
- Taylor & Francis
Entstanden
- 2015
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