Arbeitspapier

Financial stability and the Fed: evidence from congressional hearings

This paper retraces how financial stability considerations interacted with U.S. monetary policy before and during the Great Recession. Using text-mining techniques, we construct indicators for financial stability sentiment expressed during testimonies of four Federal Reserve Chairs at Congressional hearings. Including these text-based measures adds explanatory power to Taylor-rule models. In particular, negative financial stability sentiment coincided with a more accommodative monetary policy stance than implied by standard Taylor-rule factors, even in the decades before the Great Recession. These findings are consistent with a preference for monetary policy reacting to financial instability rather than acting pre-emptively to a perceived build-up of risks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7657

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: U.S.; Canada: 1913-
Subject
monetary policy
financial stability
Taylor rule
text mining

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Wischnewsky, Arina
Jansen, David-Jan
Neuenkirch, Matthias
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Wischnewsky, Arina
  • Jansen, David-Jan
  • Neuenkirch, Matthias
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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