Arbeitspapier

Is Germany becoming the European pollution haven?

Relative prices determine competitiveness of different locations. In this paper, we focus on the role of regulatory differences between Germany and other EU countries which affect the shadow price of carbon emissions. We calibrate a Melitz-type model, extended by firms' emissions and abatement decisions using data on aggregate output, trade and emissions. The parameter estimates are estimated from the German Manufacturing Census. The quantitative model allows us to recover a measure of how regulatory stringency evolved in the EU and Germany in terms of an implicit carbon price paid on emissions. This price reflects energy and carbon prices in addition to command-and-control measures and decreased from 2005 to 2019 in most sectors - both in Germany and other EU countries. The trend is more pronounced in Germany than in the rest of the EU. In counterfactual analyses, we show that this intra-EU difference has substantially increased German industrial emissions. Had the EU experienced the same decrease in implicit carbon prices as Germany, German emissions would have been substantially lower. Germany has increasingly become a pollution haven

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 23-069

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade and Environment
Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General
Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
Subject
Carbon emissions
Climate Policy
Melitz model
Manufacturing

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
von Graevenitz, Kathrine
Rottner, Elisa
Richter, Philipp M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • von Graevenitz, Kathrine
  • Rottner, Elisa
  • Richter, Philipp M.
  • ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung

Time of origin

  • 2023

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