Arbeitspapier

How New Keynesian Is the US Phillips Curve?

I provide a generalization of Calvo price setting, to include non-overlapping contracts as a special case and embed this in a small DSGE model. The resulting Generalized Phillips Curve (GPC) nests New-Keynesian and Neoclassical versions. I linearize the model around a potentially non-zero trend inflation rate, and estimate it on US data using Bayesian methods, allowing for Markov switching in the variances of structural shocks. I find that the Phillips curve is 100% New Keynesian. There is no evidence of either forward or backward indexation. I illustrate that trend inflation affects the estimation of the Phillips curve.

ISBN
978-82-7553-782-7
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2013/25

Classification
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Subject
Phillips curve
neoclassical
indexation
regime-switching
trend inflation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Alstadheim, Ragna
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Norges Bank
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Alstadheim, Ragna
  • Norges Bank

Time of origin

  • 2013

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