Arbeitspapier

A labor market-augmented empirical stock-flow consistent model applied to the Greek economy

This paper extends the empirical stock-flow consistent (SFC) literature through the introduction of distributional features and labor market institutions in a Godley-type empirical SFC model. In particular, labor market institutions, such as the minimum wage and the collective bargaining coverage rate, are considered as determinants of the wage share and, in turn, of the distribution of national income. Thereby, the model is able to examine both the medium-term stability conditions of the economy via the evolution of the sectoral financial balances and the implications of functional income distribution on the growth prospects of the economy at hand. The model is then applied to the Greek economy. The empirical results indicate that the Greek economy has a significant structural competitiveness deficit, while the institutional regime is likely debt-led. The policies implemented in the context of the economic adjustment programs were highly inappropriate, triggering private sector insolvency. A minimum wage increase is projected to have a positive impact on output growth and employment. However, policies that would enhance the productive sector's structural competitiveness are required in order to ensure the growth prospects of the Greek economy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 949

Classification
Wirtschaft
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Labor Economics Policies
Subject
Stock-Flow Consistent
Labor Market Institutions
Internal Devaluation
Functional Income Distribution
Greece

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pierros, Christos
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(where)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pierros, Christos
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Time of origin

  • 2020

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