Arbeitspapier

Temporal networks in the analysis of financial contagion

This paper studies the dynamics of contagion across the banking, insurance and shadow banking sectors of 16 advanced economies in the period 2006-2018. We construct Granger causality-in-risk networks and introduce higher-order aggregate networks and temporal node centralities in an economic setting to capture non-Markovian network features. Our approach uncovers the dynamics of financial contagion as it is transmitted across segments of the financial system and jurisdictions. Temporal centralities identify countries in distress as the nodes through which contagion propagates. Moreover, the banking system emerges as the primary source and transmitter of stress while banks and shadow banks are highly interconnected. The insurance sector is found to contribute less to stress transmission in all periods, except during the global financial crisis. Our approach, as opposed to one that uses memoryless measures of network centrality, is able to identify more clearly the nodes that are critical for the transmission of financial contagion.

ISBN
978-92-899-5116-6
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2667

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Mathematical Methods
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Financial Crises
Thema
Financial networks
Granger causality-in-tail
GARCH
non-Markovian
systemicrisk

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Franch, Fabio
Nocciola, Luca
Vouldis, Angelos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2022

DOI
doi:10.2866/760555
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Franch, Fabio
  • Nocciola, Luca
  • Vouldis, Angelos
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2022

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