Arbeitspapier

How to sell renewable electricity: Interactions of the intraday and day-ahead market under uncertainty

Uncertainty about renewable production increases the importance of sequential short-term trading. We consider a two-stage market where conventional and renewable producers compete in order to satisfy the demand of consumers. The trading in the first stage takes place under uncertainty about production levels of renewable producers, which can be associated with trading in the day-ahead market. In the second stage, which we consider as the intraday market, uncertainty about the production levels is resolved. Our model is able to capture different levels of flexibility for conventional producers as well as different levels of competition for renewable producers. We find that it is optimal for renewable producers to sell less than the expected production in the day-ahead market. In situations with high renewable production it is even profitable for renewable producers to withhold quantities in the intraday market. However, for an increasing number of renewable producers, the optimal quantity tends towards the expected production level. More competition as well as a more flexible power plant fleet lead to an increase in overall welfare, which can even be further increased by delaying the gate-closure of the day-ahead market or by improving the quality of renewable production forecasts.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: EWI Working Paper ; No. 16/04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
Electric Utilities
Renewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply; Prices
Thema
Cournot Competition
Electricity Markets
Day-ahead Market
Intraday Market
Competition Under Uncertainty

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Knaut, Andreas
Obermüller, Frank
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne (EWI)
(wo)
Köln
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Knaut, Andreas
  • Obermüller, Frank
  • Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne (EWI)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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