Artikel

Why they keep missing: An empirical investigation of sovereign bond ratings and their timing

Two contradictory strands of the rating literature criticize that rating agencies merely follow the market on the one hand, and emphasizing that rating changes affect capital movements on the other hand. Both focus on explaining rating levels rather than the timing of rating announcements. Contrarily, we explicitly differentiate between a decision to assess a country and the actual rating decision. We show that this differentiation significantly improves the estimation of the rating function. The three major rating agencies treat economic fundamentals similarly, while differing in their response to other factors such as strategic considerations. This reconciles the conflicting literature.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Scottish Journal of Political Economy ; ISSN: 1467-9485 ; Volume: 69 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 186-224 ; Hoboken, USA: Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
decision timing
rating agencies
sovereign risk

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
El‐Shagi, Makram
von Schweinitz, Gregor
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
(where)
Hoboken, USA
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.1111/sjpe.12301
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • El‐Shagi, Makram
  • von Schweinitz, Gregor
  • Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Time of origin

  • 2021

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