Arbeitspapier

Unemployment dynamics: An unobserved components approach

The study uses a bivariate unobserved components model for output and the unemployment rate in order to examine stylised facts of the cyclical behaviour of unemployment and to estimate the size of persistence. The model is applied to the U.S., Canada, and major European economies. Estimates of cyclically adjusted unemployment rates are obtained that account for persistence effects and are subject to considerably smaller confidence bounds compared to approaches based on wage and price setting equations.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Reihe Ökonomie / Economics Series ; No. 53

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Subject
trend-and-cycle decomposition
persistence
multivariate
stochastic cycles

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Rünstler, Gerhard
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
1998

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Rünstler, Gerhard
  • Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)

Time of origin

  • 1998

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