Arbeitspapier

Macro-model-based stress testing of Basel II requirements

Basel II framework requires banks to conduct stress tests on their potential future minimum capital requirements and consider `at least the effect of mild recession scenarios'. We propose a stress testing framework for minimum capital requirements in which banks' corporate credit risks are modeled with macroeconomic variables. We can thus define scenarios such as a mild recession and consider the resulting credit risk developments and consequent changes in minimum capital requirements. We also emphasize the importance of stress testing future minimum capital requirements jointly with credit losses. Our illustrative results based on Finnish data underline the importance of such joint modeling. We also find that stress tests based on scenarios envisaged by regulators are not likely to imply binding capital constraints on banks.

ISBN
978-952-462-451-0
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 17/2008

Classification
Wirtschaft
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Bankruptcy; Liquidation
Subject
Basel II
capital requirements
credit risk
loan losses
stress tests

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jokivuolle, Esa
Virolainen, Kimmo
Vähämaa, Oskari
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jokivuolle, Esa
  • Virolainen, Kimmo
  • Vähämaa, Oskari
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2008

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