Arbeitspapier

Implications of EU enlargement on the EU greenhouse gas "bubble" and internal burden sharing

Currently, the EU-15 forms the only bubble under the Kyoto Protocol and has negotiated an internal burden sharing. A strategic EU climate policy should include accession countries. Thus, even in the case of early ratification of the Kyoto Protocol by 2002, it would be sensible to form a bubble with all countries that are certain to be EU members during the commitment period 2008-2012. Of course due to Art. 4,4 of the Protocol the EU-15 has to stick to its own bubble. However, nothing prevents it from forming an implicit bubble including all first wave countries by inducing them to form a bubble on their own and transfer the surplus to the EU-15. Similarly, second wave countries should form a bubble of their own to co-ordinate JI and permit transfers to the EU. This would reduce the gap between business-as-usual and the target by about 50%. If ratification is delayed to a point where it is clear which second wave countries will be members by 2008, the bubble should be extended by those countries. When in 2005 target negotiations start for the second commitment period, the EU should negotiate a bubble consisting of all states being certain to be members by 2013.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: HWWA Discussion Paper ; No. 92

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Klimaschutz
Luftverunreinigung
Kohlendioxid
EU-Erweiterung
Internationaler Transfer
EU-Staaten
Osteuropa

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Michaelowa, Axel
Betz, Regina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA)
(where)
Hamburg
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Michaelowa, Axel
  • Betz, Regina
  • Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA)

Time of origin

  • 2000

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