Channels of sovereign risk spillovers and investment in the manufacturing sector

Arbeitspapier

This paper identifies endogenous and exogenous indicators of firms' investment activity, and examine, in particular, the effect that these variables have in co-determining firms' investment decisions. Two channels of spillovers from sovereign risk to firms' capital expenditures are defined. The first channel, the "direct channel", describes responses in capital expenditures from an innovation in sovereign risk. The second channel, the "indirect channel", is a transmission mechanism in which spillovers from changes in sovereign risk indirectly affect a firm's capital expenditures via its capital market risk and profitability. While we observe that the direct risk channel is of major importance in Emerging and Developing Economies, it is comparatively small in Advanced Economies. In the case of the latter, contagion from changes in sovereign risk on firms' capital market risk plays a much more important role.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: WWZ Working Paper ; No. 2017/07

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling ; Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty ; Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity ; Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies; Capacity
• Subject: Capital expenditures ; Risk spillovers ; Panel VARX ; Differential Evolution

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Deininger, Sebastian M. ; Maringer, Dietmar G.
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): University of Basel, Center of Business and Economics (WWZ)
• (where): Basel
• (when): 2017

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.5451/unibas-ep61310
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/185827
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET