Arbeitspapier
The role of external and country specific factors in Hungarian inflation developments
Recent literature suggests that the co-movement of inflation is rather strong across countries. We use a factor model to asses this co-movement within the EU, while we differentiate between common (EU) and regional (CEE) effects. We find that price dynamics in Western European countries share a common pattern, while CEE countries can be divided into subgroups according to their inflation history. Results indicate that the monetary policy regime is a very important source of the difference among CEE countries. This method also allows us to examine how external and country-specific components contributed to the Hungarian inflation. We find that Hungary, similar to other countries in the region, experienced a disinflation period before the EU accession. However, country specific components (e.g. VAT changes or monetary policy) also played an important role.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: MNB Working Papers ; No. 2012/5
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System; Payment Systems
Central Banks and Their Policies
- Thema
-
inflation dynamics
factor model
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Krusper, Balázs
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Magyar Nemzeti Bank
- (wo)
-
Budapest
- (wann)
-
2012
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Krusper, Balázs
- Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Entstanden
- 2012