Artikel

Democracy Doesn’t Always Happen Over Night: Regime Change in Stages and Economic Growth

How substantial are the economic benefits from democratic regime change? We argue that democratisation is often not a discrete event but a two-stage process: autocracies enter into ‘episodes’ of political liberalisation which eventually culminate in regime change or not. To account for this chronology and the implicit counterfactual groups, we introduce a repeated-treatment difference-in-difference implementation capturing non-parallel trends and selection into treatment. We find that modelling regime change in two stages rather than a single event yields stronger long-run growth effects. Among democratizers, experiencing repeated episodes without regime change reduces growth in democracy whereas length of episode does not.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: The Review of Economics and Statistics ; ISSN: 1530-9142 ; Year: 2024 ; Issue: Forthcoming ; Pages: 1-29 ; Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Democracy
Growth
Political Develpoment
Difference-in-Difference
Interactive Fixed Effects

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boese-Schlosser, Vanessa
Eberhardt, Markus
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MIT Press
ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
(where)
Cambridge, Mass.
(when)
2024

Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Boese-Schlosser, Vanessa
  • Eberhardt, Markus
  • MIT Press
  • ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Time of origin

  • 2024

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