Big Questions, Little Answers: Terrorism Activity, Investor Sentiment and Stock Returns

Arbeitspapier

Motivated by the investor sentiment literature and assuming that terrorist activity influences investor mood the paper explores whether terrorism exerts a significant negative impact on daily stock market returns for a sample of 22 countries. The employed empirical specifications are based on flexible versions of the World CAPM allowing for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. The results suggest that terrorist activity leads to significantly lower returns on the day of terrorist attack occurrence. In addition, the negative effect of terrorist activity is substantially amplified as the level of psychosocial effects increases. On the one hand this evidence sheds light to the underlying mechanism via which terrorism affects stock markets while on the other hand provides further empirical support for the sentiment effect.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Economics of Security Working Paper ; No. 8

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models ; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy ; International Financial Markets
• Subject: Sentiment ; Terrorism ; Stock Market ; Panel ; Pooled Panel ARCH

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Drakos, Konstantinos
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
• (where): Berlin
• (when): 2009

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/119334
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET