Arbeitspapier

Varying Youth Cohort Effects on Regional Labour Market Outcomes in Germany

We assess how changes in youth cohort sizes effect employment rates in German labour market regions. Replicating the conventional approach, we estimate that a percentage increase in the youth share reduces regional employment rates by −0.2%. We challenge the assumption that cohort size effects are homogenous across space and find robust evidence that the negative effect of youth cohort size is more pronounced in the labour markets of metropolitan regions. These results suggest an upward pressure on urban regional employment rates as a result of the projected decrease in the size of the German youth share.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 11932

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
employment rate
youth share
Germany
regional heterogeneity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
de Graaff, Thomas
Ozgen, Ceren
Roth, Duncan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • de Graaff, Thomas
  • Ozgen, Ceren
  • Roth, Duncan
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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