The role of Global Climate Change in structural transformation of Sub-Saharan Africa: Case study of Senegal

Arbeitspapier

With increasing evidence that rural households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) opt for deagrarianization as an adaptation strategy to climate change, it is becoming important to understand the role of Global Climate Change (GCC) in ongoing structural transformation processes in these countries. We use Senegal as a case study country and analyze how various GCC scenarios affect the country's economic sectors, households' welfare, and structural transformation patterns. Our simulation results suggest that GCC can increase the country's deagrarianization pace, with industrial and service sectors in the capital Dakar being the most important destinations of the former agricultural labor force. Although unplanned urbanization smoothes the overall negative impact of GCC and decreases spatial income disparities, uncontrolled deagrarianization is also associated with negative externalities. Previous growth-focused studies suggest that services partaking in Senegal's deagrarianization can hamper its long-term growth prospects, and our results suggest that productivity increase of services can redirect part of the former agricultural labor force towards industrial sectors.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 2187

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models ; Computable General Equilibrium Models ; Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
• Thema: CGE modeling ; climate change ; deagrarianization ; urbanization

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Mukashov, Askar ; Henning, Christian H. C. A. ; Robertson, Richard ; Wiebelt, Manfred
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
• (wo): Kiel
• (wann): 2021

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/234954
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ