Arbeitspapier
Fertility, mortality, and the developed worlds demographic transition
This study uses Fehr, Jokisch, and Kotlikoff's (2004a) dynamic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of changes in fertility and mortality on the developed world's demographic transition. The model features three regions – the U.S., Japan, and the EU-15 – and incorporates age- and time-specific fertility and mortality rates, detailed fiscal institutions, and international capital mobility, subject to adjustment costs. Our simulations confirm the offsetting fiscal and economic consequences of both higher fertility and lower mortality rates. The simulations indicate very minor effects on the developed world's rather bleak baseline transition path from either major increases in fertility rates or major reductions in mortality rates.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 1326
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Social Security and Public Pensions
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- Thema
-
demographic transition
computable general equilibrium model (CGE )
fertility
mortality
Bevölkerungspolitik
Alternde Bevölkerung
Bevölkerungsökonomie
Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
Demographischer Übergang
Vereinigte Staaten
Japan
EU-Staaten
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Fehr, Hans
Jokisch, Sabine
Kotlikoff, Laurence J.
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2004
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Fehr, Hans
- Jokisch, Sabine
- Kotlikoff, Laurence J.
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2004