Arbeitspapier

Financial shocks and the real economy in a nonlinear world: From theory to estimation

We examine the inter-linkages between financial factors and real economic activity. We review the main theoretical approaches that allow financial frictions to be embedded into general equilibrium models. We outline, from a policy perspective, the most recent empirical papers focusing on the propagation of exogenous shocks to the economy, with a particular emphasis on works dealing with time variation of parameters and other types of nonlinearities. We then present an application to the analysis of the changing transmission of financial shocks in the euro area. Results show that the effects of a financial shock are time-varying and contingent on the state of the economy. They are of negligible importance in normal times but they greatly matter in conditions of stress.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFS Working Paper Series ; No. 505

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
financial crisis
nonlinearities
financial shocks

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Silvestrini, Andrea
Zaghini, Andrea
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2015

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-382471
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Silvestrini, Andrea
  • Zaghini, Andrea
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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