Arbeitspapier

Assessing the likelihood of regional climate change over the Nile River basin and northern Africa: A hybrid assessment

Projections of regional changes in surface air temperature and precipitation for the greater Nile River basin and northern Africa are presented. The probabilistic projections are obtained through a technique that combines projections of the MIT Integrated Global System Model with climate-change patterns of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Overall, the most consistent response to climate policy is seen in the distributions of temperature change. For precipitation, the predominant climate stabilization response is to reduce the likelihood of modal change. To quantify risks of climate change, the study data can be vetted through a chain of impact models.

ISBN
978-92-9256-041-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2015/152

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
climate change
probability
northern Africa
Nile

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Schlosser, C. Adam
Strzepek, Ken
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2015/041-6
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Schlosser, C. Adam
  • Strzepek, Ken
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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