Arbeitspapier
Assessing the likelihood of regional climate change over the Nile River basin and northern Africa: A hybrid assessment
Projections of regional changes in surface air temperature and precipitation for the greater Nile River basin and northern Africa are presented. The probabilistic projections are obtained through a technique that combines projections of the MIT Integrated Global System Model with climate-change patterns of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Overall, the most consistent response to climate policy is seen in the distributions of temperature change. For precipitation, the predominant climate stabilization response is to reduce the likelihood of modal change. To quantify risks of climate change, the study data can be vetted through a chain of impact models.
- ISBN
-
978-92-9256-041-6
- Language
-
Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
-
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2015/152
- Classification
-
Wirtschaft
- Subject
-
climate change
probability
northern Africa
Nile
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Schlosser, C. Adam
Strzepek, Ken
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
-
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
- (where)
-
Helsinki
- (when)
-
2015
- DOI
-
doi:10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2015/041-6
- Handle
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Schlosser, C. Adam
- Strzepek, Ken
- The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
Time of origin
- 2015