Arbeitspapier

Real business cycle realizations

Much recent business cycle research focuses on moments of macroeconomic aggregates. We construct examples of real business cycle sample paths for output, consumption, and employment for the U.S. economy. Annual sample paths are generated from an initial condition in 1925, measured technology and government spending shocks since then, and a standard, calibrated, one-sector model of the business cycle. Quarterly sample paths are generated similarly, from an initial condition in 1955. The law of motion for shocks is not parametrized and so decision-rules are estimated by GMM. We compare the paths with actual history graphically and by spectral methods.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 1253

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
real business cycles
Solow residuals
US business cycle history

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Smith, Gregor W.
Zin, Stanley E.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(where)
Kingston (Ontario)
(when)
1997

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Smith, Gregor W.
  • Zin, Stanley E.
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 1997

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