Arbeitspapier

Devaluation expectations and speculative attacks on the currency

In this paper balance-of-payments crises are studied in a framework in which investors do not know the threshol~ level of foreign reserves, the attainment of which implies that the central bank abandons its fixed exchange target. Investors are alternatively risk neutral or risk averters. It is shown that, depending on whether the threshold level is stochastic or fixed but unknown to investors, currency speculation reveals itself as, respectively, a speculative outflow distributed over a longer time period or a sudden speculative attack on the currency.

ISBN
951-686-151-2
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 8/1988

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Willman, Alpo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
1988

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Willman, Alpo
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 1988

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