Artikel

Financial time series forecasting using empirical mode decomposition and support vector regression

We introduce a multistep-ahead forecasting methodology that combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and support vector regression (SVR). This methodology is based on the idea that the forecasting task is simplified by using as input for SVR the time series decomposed with EMD. The outcomes of this methodology are compared with benchmark models commonly used in the literature. The results demonstrate that the combination of EMD and SVR can outperform benchmark models significantly, predicting the Standard & Poor's 500 Index from 30 s to 25 min ahead. The high-frequency components better forecast short-term horizons, whereas the low-frequency components better forecast long-term horizons.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 6 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-21 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
empirical mode decomposition
support vector regression
forecasting

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Nava, Noemi
Di Matteo, Tiziana
Aste, Tomaso
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2018

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks6010007
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Nava, Noemi
  • Di Matteo, Tiziana
  • Aste, Tomaso
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2018

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