Arbeitspapier

Rethinking capital regulation: The case for a dividend prudential target

Recent empirical studies have documented two remarkable patterns shown by euro area banks in the aftermath of the Great Recession: (i) their tendency to boost capital ratios by shrinking assets (contraction of loans supply), and (ii) their reluctance to cut back on dividends (fall in retained earnings). First, I provide evidence of a potential link between these two trends. When shocks hit their pro…ts, banks tend to adjust retained earnings to smooth dividends. This generates bank equity and credit supply volatility. Then I develop a DSGE model that incorporates this mechanism to study the transmission and effects of a novel macroprudential policy rule - that I shall call Dividend Prudential Target (DPT) - aimed at complementing existing capital regulation by tackling this issue. Welfare-maximizing DPTs are effective (more than the CCyB) in smoothing the …financial and the business cycle (by means of less volatile retained earnings) and induce signi…cant welfare gains associated to a Basel III-type of capital regulation through various channels.

ISBN
978-92-899-4076-4
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 2433

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Payout Policy
Subject
dividend restrictions
countercyclical capital bu¤
er (CCyB)
capital requirements
macroprudential policy
DSGE models

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Muñoz, Manuel A.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.2866/648900
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Muñoz, Manuel A.
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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