Artikel

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model

This paper uses a structurally estimated macroeconometric model, denoted the MC model, to evaluate inflation targeting in the United States. Various interest rate rules are tried with differing weights on inflation and output, and various optimal control problems are solved using differing weights on inflation and output targets. Price-level targeting is also considered. The results show that 1) there are output costs to inflation targeting, especially for price shocks, 2) price-level targeting is dominated by inflation targeting, 3) the estimated interest rate rule of the Fed (in Table 4) is consistent with the Fed placing equal weights on inflation and unemployment in a loss function, 4) the estimated interest rate rule does a fairly good job at lowering variability, and 5) considerable economic variability is left after the Fed has done its best. Overall, the results suggest that the Fed should continue to behave as it has in the past.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal ; ISSN: 1864-6042 ; Volume: 1 ; Year: 2007 ; Issue: 2007-8 ; Pages: 1-52 ; Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Thema
inflation targeting
interest rate rules
optimal control
Inflation Targeting
Ökonometrisches Makromodell
Ungleichgewichtstheorie
Theorie
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Fair, Ray C.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2007

DOI
doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2007-8
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Fair, Ray C.
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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