Artikel

Housing prices in Spain: Convergence or decoupling?

In this article, we measure changes in the synchronization of housing price cycles across Spanish cities over time. We rely on a regime-switching framework that identifies the housing price cycles of pairs of cities and simultaneously infers the evolving relation between those cycles. These bilateral relationships are then summarized into an aggregate index of city-level housing cycle synchronization. The estimates suggest that Spanish housing prices have followed a convergence pattern that reached a peak in 2009 and decreased slightly afterward. We also identify the cities that have been the main contributors to this convergence process. Moreover, we show that differences in population growth and economic structure are key factors in explaining the evolution of housing price synchronization among Spanish cities.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association ; ISSN: 1869-4195 ; Volume: 14 ; Year: 2023 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 165-187

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Thema
Housing cycles
Spain
Synchronization

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ghirelli, Corinna
Leiva-León, Danilo
Urtasun, Alberto
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2023

DOI
doi:10.1007/s13209-023-00275-1
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Ghirelli, Corinna
  • Leiva-León, Danilo
  • Urtasun, Alberto
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2023

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