Arbeitspapier

Evaluating nationwide health interventions when standard before-after doesn't work: Malawi's ITN distribution program

Nationwide health interventions are difficult to evaluate as contemporaneous control groups do not exist and before-after approaches are usually infeasible. We propose an alternative semi-parametric estimator that is based on the assumption that the intervention has no direct effect on the health outcome but influences the outcome only through its effect on individual behavior. We show that in this case the evaluation problem can be divided into two parts: (i) the effect of the intervention on behavior, for which a conditional before-after assumption is more plausible; and (ii) the effect of the behaviour on the health outcome, where we exploit that a contemporaneous control groups exists for behavior. The proposed estimator is used to evaluate one of Malawi's main malaria prevention campaigns, a nationwide insecticide-treated-net (ITN) distribution scheme, in terms of its effect on infant mortality. We exploit that the program affects child mortality only via bed net usage. We find that Malawi's ITN distribution campaign reduced child mortality by 1 percentage point, which corresponds to about 30% of the total reduction in infant mortality over the study period.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3036

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Health: Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
Thema
treatment effect
semi-parametric estimation
health intervention
Tropenkrankheit
Gesundheitsvorsorge
Wirkungsanalyse
Kindersterblichkeit
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
Schätzung
Malawi

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Deuchert, Eva
Wunsch, Conny
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Deuchert, Eva
  • Wunsch, Conny
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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