Arbeitspapier

Crime, prosecutors, and the certainty of conviction

This paper tests predictions of a structural, augmented supply-of-offenders model regarding the relative effects of police, public prosecution and courts, respectively, on crime. Using detailed data on the different stages of the criminal prosecution process in Germany, empirical evidence suggests that public prosecutors and their influence on the probability of conviction play a major role in explaining the variation of crime rates, while the impact of the severity of punishment is small and insignificant.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 5670

Classification
Wirtschaft
Criminal Law
Litigation Process
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
general deterrence
certainty of punishment
public prosecutors
informal punishment
panel data
Kriminalpolitik
Strafverfahren
Wirkungsanalyse
Kriminalität
Schätzung
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Entorf, Horst
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2011

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201105173059
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Entorf, Horst
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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