Arbeitspapier

Occupation-level income shocks and asset returns: Their covariance and implications for portfolio choice

This paper develops and applies a simple graphical approach to portfolio selection that accounts for covariance between asset returns and an investor's labor income. Our graphical approach easily handles income shocks that are partly hedgeable, multiple risky assets, multiple risky assets, many periods, and life cycle considerations. We apply the approach to occupation-level components of individual income innovations estimated from repeated cross sections of the Current Population Survey. We characterize several properties of these innovations, including their covariance with aggregate equity returns, long-term bond returns, and returns on several other assets. Aggregate equity returns are uncorrelated with the occupation-level income innovations, but a portfolio formed on firm size is significantly correlated with income innovations for several occupations, and so are selected industry-level equity portfolios. An application of the theory to the empirical results shows (a) large predicted levels of risky asset holdings compared to observed levels, (b) considerable variation in optimal portfolio allocations over the life cycle, and (c) large departures from the two-fund separation principle.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 13-9

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡
Incomplete Markets
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
Thema
life cycle portfolio choice
risky labor income
graphical approach
occupation-level income shocks

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Davis, Steven J.
Willen, Paul S.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
(wo)
Boston, MA
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Davis, Steven J.
  • Willen, Paul S.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Entstanden

  • 2013

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