Arbeitspapier

To swing or not to swing: An assessment of age and political cynicism of swing voting

The empirical question of voting preferences and how these may change (swing) is yet to be answered, as there is little first-hand microeconomic evidence on swing voting. We focus on the interactions between voters' age and political cynicism. Towards this end, we apply a stated and revealed preference framework to assess swing voting, using data from the Dutch Parliamentary Election Survey (DPES) 1989 to 2010. Our results indicate that swing voting is less likely to occur in older age groups and more likely among individuals with higher levels of political cynicism. The age effects tend to be stronger among those with lower political cynicism values.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CREMA Working Paper ; No. 2021-24

Classification
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Analysis of Collective Decision-Making: Other
Subject
swing voting
age
cynicism
elections

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Proulx, Damon
Savage, David
Stadelmann, David
Torgler, Benno
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)
(where)
Zürich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Proulx, Damon
  • Savage, David
  • Stadelmann, David
  • Torgler, Benno
  • Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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