Arbeitspapier
Cross-sectional evidence on the relation between monetary policy, macroeconomic conditions and low-frequency inflation uncertainty
We examine how the interaction between monetary policy and macroeconomic conditions affects inflation uncertainty in the long-term. The unobservable inflation uncertainty is quantified by means of the slowly evolving long-term variance component of inflation in the framework of the Spline-GARCH model (Engle and Rangel, 2008). For a cross-section of 13 developed economies, we find that long-term inflation uncertainty is high if central bank governors are perceived as less inflation-averse and if the conduct of monetary policy is ad-hoc rather than rule-based.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Discussion Paper Series ; No. 574
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Thema
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Inflation uncertainty
Central banking
Spline-GARCH
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Conrad, Christian
Hartmann, Matthias
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
- (wo)
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Heidelberg
- (wann)
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2014
- DOI
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doi:10.11588/heidok.00017534
- Handle
- URN
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urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-175344
- Letzte Aktualisierung
- 10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Conrad, Christian
- Hartmann, Matthias
- University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
Entstanden
- 2014