Arbeitspapier

The effect of household debt on aggregate demand: The case of Spain

Households in some European countries increased their indebtedness massively over the past 20 years. Besides household debt, also government debt and corporate debt are in some countries at levels not seen before. While there is a common agreement that these high debt levels are not sustainable there is fewer consensus about the effect of changes in debt and especially debt levels on aggregate demand. Based on a cross country study of 18 European countries we show that there is a strong link between household sector debt and aggregate demand. We strengthen these results by an analysis for Spanish provinces. The level of household debt in the Spanish provinces is highly significant for changes in aggregate demand that translated into increasing unemployment in these regions during the recession following the financial crisis of 2007/08.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3924

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Demand and Supply of Labor: General
Economywide Country Studies: Europe
Subject
debt
leverage
balance sheet recession
household sector
aggregate demand
unemployment
Private Verschuldung
Gesamtwirtschaftliche Nachfrage
Europa
Regionale Arbeitslosigkeit
Spanien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jauch, Sebastian
Watzka, Sebastian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jauch, Sebastian
  • Watzka, Sebastian
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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