Arbeitspapier

Estimation of integrated volatility in continuous time financial models with applications to goodness-of-fit testing

Properties of a specification test for the parametric form of the variance function in diffusion processes dXt = b (t,Xt) dt + sigma (t,Xt) dWt are discussed. The test is based on the estimation of certain integrals of the volatility function. If the volatility function does not depend on the variable x it is known that the corresponding statistics have an asymptotic normal distribution. However, most models of mathematical finance use a volatility function which depends on the state x. In this paper we prove that in the general case, where sigma depends also on x the estimates of integrals of the volatility converge stably in law to random variables with a non-standard limit distribution. The limit distribution depends on the diffusion process Xt itself and we use this result to develop a bootstrap test for the parametric form of the volatility function, which is consistent in the general diffusion model.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Technical Report ; No. 2004,32

Subject
continuous time financial model
model diagnostics
diffusion process
heteroscedasticity
pseudo residuals
parametric bootstrap
Zeitreihenanalyse
Volatilität
Finanzmarkt
Statistischer Test
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Vetter, Mathias
Podolskij, Mark
Dette, Holger
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen
(where)
Dortmund
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Vetter, Mathias
  • Podolskij, Mark
  • Dette, Holger
  • Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen

Time of origin

  • 2004

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