Artikel

Nonparametric regression estimation for multivariate null recurrent processes

This paper discusses nonparametric kernel regression with the regressor being a d-dimensional ß-null recurrent process in presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. We show that the mean function estimator is consistent with convergence rate p n(T)hd, where n(T) is the number of regenerations for a ß-null recurrent process and the limiting distribution (with proper normalization) is normal. Furthermore, we show that the two-step estimator for the volatility function is consistent. The finite sample performance of the estimate is quite reasonable when the leave-one-out cross validation method is used for bandwidth selection. We apply the proposed method to study the relationship of Federal funds rate with 3-month and 5-year T-bill rates and discover the existence of nonlinearity of the relationship. Furthermore, the in-sample and out-of-sample performance of the nonparametric model is far better than the linear model.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Econometrics ; ISSN: 2225-1146 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 265-288 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Subject
ß-null recurrent
cointegration
conditional heteroscedasticity
Markov chain
nonparametric regression

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cai, Biqing
Tjøstheim, Dag
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.3390/econometrics3020265
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Cai, Biqing
  • Tjøstheim, Dag
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2015

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