Arbeitspapier

The effect of inflation on growth: Evidence from a panel of transition countries

The paper examines the effect of inflation on growth in transition countries. It presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries over the 1990-2003 period; it uses a fixed effects, full-information maximum likelihood, panel approach to account for possible bias from correlations among the unobserved effects and the observed country heterogeniety. The results find a strong, robust, negative effect on growth, and one that declines in magnitude as the inflation rate increases. These results include a role for a normalized money demand, by itself and as part of a nonlinearity in the inflation-growth effect. And these results derive from both a baseline single equation model and one that is then expanded into a three equation simultaneous system. This allows for possible simultaneity bias in the baseline model.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2008/25

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
Monetary Growth Models
Subject
growth
transition
panel data
inflation
money demand
endogeneity
Geldpolitik
Inflation
Wirtschaftswachstum
Panel
Transformationsstaaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gillman, Max
Harris, Mark N.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gillman, Max
  • Harris, Mark N.
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2008

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