Arbeitspapier

Weathering the storm: Weather shocks and international migrants from the Philippines

The growing literature on environmental migration presents conflicting results. While some find that natural disasters induce international migration, others discover a dampening effect. We aim to reconcile these differences by using a comprehensive list of weather shocks from the Philippines, a country prone to natural disasters and a major exporter of labor. We constructed a longitudinal provincial dataset (2005–2015) from an assemblage of administrative and survey datasets and tested linear, quadratic, and lagged models. Our fixed-effects results are consistent with both strands in the literature with caveats. First, Filipinos are more likely to work abroad when they experience less-intense tropical cyclones and storm warning signal but are more likely to stay with a more damaging storm warning signal. Second, differential effects of weather shocks on international migration contingent on agriculture exists. Third, non-environmental factors such as economic (unemployment rate) and infrastructure (number of high schools) also push Filipinos abroad.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: GLO Discussion Paper ; No. 460

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
International Migration
Thema
Migration
Natural Disaster
Panel Dataset
Agriculture
OFWs

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Pajaron, Marjorie C.
Vasquez, Glacer Niño A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Global Labor Organization (GLO)
(wo)
Essen
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Pajaron, Marjorie C.
  • Vasquez, Glacer Niño A.
  • Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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